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- How best to manage habitats to protect biodiversity in the face of climate change is one of conservation's most pressing challenges. Answers may gained by examining current distribution patterns. An intriguing observation in the biogeography of Scottish lichens is the extent to which certain species use habitats of different quality in contrasting climates. In particular, a number of ‘oceanic’ species (e.g. Degelia atlantica, Lobaria pulmonaria) are common in western Scotland on various tree species, on trees of mixed age, and in woodlands with different levels of continuity. However, along a transect towards a sub-optimal (drier) climate in eastern Scotland, the same species become increasingly restricted to specific habitats, e.g. preferentially growing on certain tree species (notably rowan, and aspen), on older trees, and in old-growth woodlands.
- Characterising the changing habitat specificity of lichen epiphytes in contrasting climates provides a potentially powerful management model, in which local habitat may be manipulated to off-set the projected impact of climate change. Thus, we combined different datasets in a biogeographic analysis: (i) confirmed lichen presence/absence, compared to (ii) site-specific measures of old-growth woodland extent, and (iii) macroclimatic data. We were able therefore to identify a suite of lichen indicators, which responded to the combined effects of old-growth woodland extent and climatic setting. The response of these species (proportion of Scottish sites occupied) was compared to change (increase or decrease) in old-growth woodland extent, under contrasting climate change scenarios. We can thus tentatively estimate the degree of woodland increase required around old-growth remnants in order to off-set the negative impacts of climate change.
• Ellis, C.J., Yahr, R. & Coppins, B.J. Local extent of old-growth woodland modifies epiphyte response to climate change. Journal of Biogeography, in press.
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Graph demonstrating the affect of changing old-growth woodland extent on occupancy of lichen indicator species. Arrows estimate the increase in old-growth woodland extent required to maintain species occupancy at present-day levels, under two climate change scenarios equivalent to IPCC high and low greenhouse gas emissions (up to the 2050s). |
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